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Yesterday–today–tomorrow 02 January 2026: travel, energy and digital risks in the new year – what to watch today

We bring you a review of 01–03 January 2026: what happened in Ukraine and Gaza, how winter affects travel, and what oil and markets mean for prices. Learn how to prepare for delays, possible power outages and AI scams, and which dates are worth watching.

Yesterday–today–tomorrow 02 January 2026: travel, energy and digital risks in the new year – what to watch today
Photo by: Domagoj Skledar - illustration/ arhiva (vlastita)

The world entered the new year on 01 January 2026 without a real “reset.” While some were busy with fireworks and getting back from trips, others woke up to news of attacks, power outages, difficult traffic and new rules slowly seeping into everyday life. A new year often sounds like a promise, but reality is – as always – a series of small decisions that hit you through prices, security and the availability of services.


For 02 January 2026, the most important thing is to recognize where the “big” topics spill into your day: energy and oil dictate the costs of heating, transport and food; war and sanctions affect markets and a sense of safety; and winter and extreme weather can, in a couple of hours, turn an ordinary trip into a logistical problem. At the same time, the digital world is becoming less and less “invisible” – from scams fueled by artificial intelligence to new regimes of travel authorizations and identity checks.


This text brings you a practical overview: what happened on 01 January 2026 (and why it isn’t just “world” news), what makes sense to do or follow today, 02 January 2026, and what could change the situation on 03 January 2026 and in the days ahead. The focus is on what you actually feel: how much you pay, how long you wait, how much you worry, and what moves you can make without panic.


The biggest risks right now are three: first, disruptions of key systems (power, transport, logistics) due to a combination of war and weather; second, a wave of short-term price swings that spill into the household budget; third, a rise in sophisticated digital fraud during a period when people travel and shop more often. The biggest opportunity is the same as every year: those who inform themselves in time and prepare a little avoid most unnecessary costs and stress.


Yesterday: what happened and why you should care


War in Ukraine: drone attacks and the question of power


On the night around New Year and during 01 January 2026, drone attacks linked to the war in Ukraine intensified, with Moscow and Kyiv accusing each other of striking civilian targets. Ukraine reported a massive wave of drones aimed at energy infrastructure in multiple regions, with electricity supply interruptions for part of households. The Russian side simultaneously presented claims of a Ukrainian attack in the Russian-controlled part of Kherson Oblast, which Ukraine did not independently confirm. In the background, diplomatic channels and attempts to “freeze” or limit the war are still mentioned, but on the ground the rhythm of strikes and counterstrikes continues.


For you, this is прежде all a story about energy and the risk of disruption. When the power grid is targeted, the consequences do not stop at borders: pressure on electricity and gas prices rises, demand for alternative sources increases, and industry and logistics become more sensitive. Even if you live far from the front, price hikes and supply insecurity often arrive through bills and the prices of goods that depend on energy (from food to delivery). It is also a reminder that a “backup plan” at home pays off: battery lamps, a power bank, chargers, basic water supplies, and a family agreement on what to do if power or signal goes out.


The most affected are those who depend on stable energy: small entrepreneurs with cold storage and machines, families heating with electricity, and everyone who works from home and needs the internet. If you travel, be aware that in crisis moments some services may slow down (ATMs, chargers, mobile networks) and that plan A should have a plan B. (Source, Details)


Oil and fuel: the start of 2026 with jitters and OPEC+ on the horizon


The first working days of 2026 reopened the question of whether oil prices will stabilize after the big drop in 2025 or whether geopolitical risks will dominate again. Reports mention tensions over attacks on energy infrastructure and expectations that OPEC+ could maintain a cautious production policy. At the same time, market commentary threads in sanctions moves and broader political risks in energy regions.


For an ordinary person, oil isn’t just a number on an exchange – it is a chain of costs. When Brent and WTI go up, fuel gets more expensive, and with it transport, delivery, part of food production, and the price of services that depend on logistics. When the price falls, the relief doesn’t always come immediately: some chains pass on price drops more slowly, and in the meantime new reasons appear (exchange rate, taxes, margins). That is why it is useful to follow the trend, not one day: if a price range stabilizes, it is easier to plan travel, heating and business route costs.


If you drive a lot or run a small business, consider “shock absorbers”: a full tank before a longer trip when the price is stable, comparing prices and terms among suppliers, and planning routes and driving times to avoid congestion. And a small thing that isn’t trivial: tire pressure, servicing and driving style often bring bigger savings than hunting for the “cheapest station.” (Source)


Markets and rates: euphoria at the start of the year, but also mines under the carpet


Entering 2026 comes with stories of strong market momentum from 2025, mixing optimism with fear of “missing the train.” In reviews of market themes, it is highlighted that investors are watching a range of potential triggers – from political-legal decisions related to tariffs to the direction of monetary policy and staffing decisions in the U.S. In such an environment, precious metals become more attractive, and risk appetite can collapse abruptly as soon as a more serious shock appears.


For you, this translates into three concrete areas: loans, savings and prices. If you are on a variable rate, changes in expectations about central banks can be felt through instalments – sometimes only after a few months, but enough to disrupt a plan. If you save, it is important to look at real purchasing power, not just the nominal interest rate. And the prices of goods (from electronics to cars) often react to a combination of exchange rates, tariffs and financing costs.


A practical rule: don’t make financial decisions just because “everyone is talking.” If you plan a bigger expense or investment, prepare an A/B scenario: what if the rate stays the same, and what if it rises or falls. And if you have debt, the fastest relief is often not “timing the market,” but organizing the household budget and reducing the most expensive forms of borrowing. (Source)


Winter in Europe: snow, ice and a real risk of travel cancellations


As people returned from New Year’s trips, parts of Europe were hit by a cold-weather wave, with warnings for snow and ice and canceled and delayed flights. In the United Kingdom, the meteorological service issued multiple levels of warnings, and reports mention delays and cancellations due to difficult runway conditions, air-traffic-control restrictions and difficulties clearing snow.


This is not “local” news if you travel via European hubs: when one major airport slows down, the domino effect spills into connections, transfers and return flights. And when there is snow on the ground, problems are not only in the plane – but also in getting to the airport, parking, public transport and the possibility that luggage is delayed. In practice, a travel day becomes a day without control, so it pays to have a plan: backup transport, extra time, basic food and a charger within reach.


Families with children, older people and those traveling for work with tight deadlines are hit the hardest. In cold spells, health risk also increases (falls, worsening chronic conditions), so layering clothing and a quick check of home heating before leaving are worthwhile. If you are on the move, avoid “tight” transfers, check cancellation conditions and keep receipts for additional costs because they can often be claimed under carrier rules and travel insurance. (Source)


Gaza: winter in tents and the politics of access to basic things


In the Middle East, beyond political announcements and diplomatic phone calls, a very “down-to-earth” topic moves to the forefront: how people survive winter under conditions of limited infrastructure. The Associated Press relayed UNICEF information about the death of a child in a flooded tent camp in Gaza, citing worsening winter conditions and earlier child deaths linked to cold and accidents. In parallel, debates emerged about what enters the area and through which channel, including the question of goods treated as “dual-use” (civilian and potentially military), which in practice affects the availability of generators, batteries, parts and equipment.


For you, this matters because humanitarian crises often have secondary waves: energy prices, rising insurance costs, disruptions in transport and trade, and tensions that fuel political decisions. When the situation worsens, the risk of sudden measures (restrictions, additional checks, changes to entry/exit rules) increases, which travelers and businesses feel through longer waits and more expensive services.


If you travel in the wider region or do business with partners who depend on routes across the Mediterranean, be ready for changes in timelines and freight prices. For everyone else, the key is informational hygiene: in crises, manipulation and fake “humanitarian” campaigns spread, so donate only through verified channels. (Source, Details)


Diplomacy around Ukraine and Gaza: a phone call can move markets


In the first days of 2026, information appeared about planned talks at the highest level, including an announcement that the Turkish president will talk with the U.S. president about Ukraine and Gaza. Such announcements do not change reality overnight, but they signal that the ground is being prepared for moves that can have consequences for sanctions, trade and the security architecture.


For an ordinary person, “diplomacy” is visible only when it changes prices or rules. One sentence about sanctions can move oil and thus fuel. An announcement of ceasefire talks can calm part of the market, but also trigger a wave of disinformation and speculation. That is why it is useful to distinguish rhetoric from decisions: markets often react to expectations, and the household budget reacts only when decisions translate into costs.


If you manage larger expenses (travel, procurement, business contracts), keep key dates in your calendar and avoid making “tight” plans without a buffer. In an unstable environment, a reserve of time is as valuable as a reserve of money. (Source)


Digital security: AI scams are growing faster than our caution


Entering a new year is traditionally a season of shopping, travel and “new beginnings,” and it is also a season of scams. More and more analyses indicate that artificial intelligence makes it easier to create convincing fake messages, voice calls and deepfake content. Assessments by security institutions and European bodies emphasize that AI helps criminal groups scale fraud and identity impersonation faster, making them cheaper and harder to detect.


For you, this means the line of “obviously fake” is moving. A scam can look like a message from a delivery service, a bank, or even a coworker, with a realistic tone and details. The most common damage is not spectacular, but quiet: stolen card data, a redirected payment, a compromised email and then a chain of problems (password resets, blocks, loss of time). At the same time, the risk grows that fake recordings and “evidence” are used for blackmail, fake news and pressure, increasing overall chaos in the public sphere.


Those most exposed are frequent online payers and small businesses without IT support. The basic defense is boring, but effective: multi-factor authentication, separate passwords and verifying account-number changes through another channel. Whenever possible, choose more resilient forms of MFA and avoid confirmations that are easily “pulled out” via social engineering. (Source, Details)


Travel regimes 2026: ETIAS and the UK ETA change habits


While the news revolved around war and weather, a “quiet” travel change continues in the background: digital travel authorization systems. On the official ETIAS website, the EU published that the start of operational work is expected in the last quarter of 2026, noting that the exact date will be announced several months in advance. The United Kingdom announced that from 25 February 2026 it is expanding the application of the Electronic Travel Authorisation (ETA) and that travelers without the appropriate documentation may be stopped even before boarding.


For you, that means fewer “spontaneous” trips and more checks before departure. Even when the process takes a few minutes, the risk is in a missed detail: if you don’t have authorization, the carrier can refuse to board you. This especially affects families, groups and business travelers with short deadlines. Also, the number of planning steps increases: passport, authorization, possible fees, transit rules and validity periods.


If you travel often, build a simple habit: before buying a ticket, check official pages, save confirmations and make a “checklist” for each destination. Don’t rely on social networks and forums when it comes to entering a country – mistakes cost the most there. (Official document, Details)


Calendar of economic releases: when the numbers really “flip” sentiment


The first weeks of the year are often calmer in “big” headlines, but not in data. The U.S. BLS publishes the schedule of economic releases for January 2026, noting that the dates may change depending on circumstances in public services. In parallel, the Federal Reserve has scheduled its first FOMC meeting for 27–28 January 2026, a date markets typically watch for signals on rates and inflation.


For you, the “rhythm” matters: when employment and inflation data are released, the market tone often shifts, and with it exchange rates and expectations about rates. You don’t have to follow all the figures, but it is useful to know that on such days banks, exchanges and business media become more sensitive to every signal. This can spill into loan offers, insurance prices and even store promotions that depend on imports.


Practically: if you are planning a big purchase on credit or refinancing, don’t tie everything to one date. Follow the trend over several weeks and leave room for an offer change. And if you work in a sector that depends on exports/imports, be prepared for “waves” of inquiries and price changes around key releases. (Source, Details)


Today: what it means for your day


Travel and borders


02 January 2026 is the day many people return to routine, and traffic feels it: crowds, transfers and reduced capacity due to weather. If you travel by plane or train, the most important goal is not “to arrive to the minute,” but to keep control of your options. That means checking flight status earlier, realistic transfers and readiness to change plans without panic.


In winter conditions, delays are often not only the carrier’s problem but also infrastructure: icy runways, air-traffic-control restrictions, blocked road access. If you can, choose morning departures (fewer accumulated delays) and avoid transfers through hubs under warnings. If you travel by car, assume that one closed pass or a highway accident can change the entire day.


At the same time, we are entering 2026 with more administrative steps for travel. Even if you don’t need them today, it’s good to organize documents and reminders now: passport, health insurance, document copies and official pages for checking entry conditions. (Source, Official document)



  • Practical consequence: a trip may take longer and cost more (hotel, taxi, food) due to delays and cancellations.

  • What to watch for: transfers shorter than 60–90 minutes in winter conditions and “non-refundable” fares without flexibility.

  • What you can do right now: save offline maps, a charger, booking confirmations and your insurance number; check compensation conditions.


Energy and household costs


At the start of the year, people often feel a “post-holiday” hit to the budget, and energy plays a big role. News about oil and geopolitical tensions is not a reason for panic, but it is a signal to track costs with a cool head. If oil prices move in an unstable range, that can, with a lag, spill into fuel prices and the prices of some goods transported by freight.


At home, the biggest savings today rarely come from one “trick” measure, but from a combination of small things: thermostat one degree lower, closing doors between rooms, checking seals, using the water heater rationally and running washers in full cycles. If you have an older apartment or house, investing in insulation and seals often pays back faster than it seems – especially in winters with cold waves.


For those who drive, “fuel price” is only part of the story. Driving style, tire pressure and route planning often bring savings regardless of the market. And if you are in a phase of planning bigger purchases, consider whether you can postpone part of the expense until the market calms. (Source)



  • Practical consequence: oil volatility can spill into fuel and transport, and thus into store prices.

  • What to watch for: expensive “emergency” purchases and impulsive decisions after one news item or one price hike.

  • What you can do right now: make a weekly budget, set a fuel limit and check household heat losses.


Security and risks


Security on 02 January 2026 has two layers: physical and informational. The physical layer is a combination of weather and infrastructure – snow, ice, power outages, difficult traffic. The informational layer is news from war zones and diplomatic announcements, which often come with a wave of rumors and manipulation. In both cases, the best defense is preparation and verification before reaction.


If you live in an area where winter outages are common, today is a good day for a “mini inventory”: where the lamps, batteries, first aid, chargers, contacts and basic supplies are. You don’t do it because you expect a catastrophe, but because a 6–12 hour outage becomes much easier if you are prepared. In traffic, the rule is simple: slow down and increase distance, because the biggest accidents happen right when people think everything is “under control.”


Informational part: when you see dramatic news, separate reacting from sharing. If information affects your decisions (travel, money, safety), seek confirmation from multiple independent sources or official channels. This is especially important on topics like Ukraine, where information is used as a tool. (Source)



  • Practical consequence: a power outage or traffic collapse can stop work, heating, charging and payments.

  • What to watch for: “urgent” messages asking for money, a click or personal data, especially during travel.

  • What you can do right now: update emergency contacts, charge devices and agree on a family plan.


Work and the economy


For many, 02 January 2026 is a return-to-work day or a day to plan the first quarter. At such a moment, it helps most to separate what you can control (expenses, contracts, inventory, deadlines) from what you can’t (war, global markets). Early-year market optimism can flip quickly if there is political or energy escalation, so planning must have an “airbag.”


If you run a small business, look at where your biggest risks are: energy prices, logistics, exchange rates and labor availability. If you are an employee, consider a personal “buffer”: minimum savings for three to four weeks of expenses and a review of contracts (especially if you have variable add-ons or travel costs). In unstable conditions, stability comes from simple rules: don’t pile on unnecessary obligations and be realistic with deadlines.


For those with loans, today is a good moment to check terms and options: fixed vs. variable rate, the possibility of early repayment, and insurance. Rates do not change every day, but expectations do, and banks build them into offers. (Source, Details)



  • Practical consequence: changes in rate expectations can affect instalments and financing prices in the coming months.

  • What to watch for: contracts with “thin” delivery deadlines and prices linked to energy or exchange rates without protection.

  • What you can do right now: make a list of key expenses and define a minimum reserve of time and money.


Digital: platforms, AI and privacy


In the digital world, 02 January 2026 is a good day for “hygiene”: after the holidays, people have more accounts, confirmations, coupons and messages, and attackers use that. With AI tools, fake messages become grammatically cleaner and more convincing, and scams often hide behind real brands and familiar visuals. In that environment, the rule “don’t click” is not enough – you need to know what to do instead.


First, separate communication channels: if you get a message “from the bank,” don’t open the link; type the bank’s address yourself or call the number on the card. Second, enable multi-factor authentication on email and financial apps because email is often the key for password resets. Third, make a quick backup of the most important files (photos, documents) to another device or a trusted service – not because you expect an attack, but because data loss hurts more than the scam itself.


For parents and families: talking with children about online scams is worth more than any filter, because manipulation often happens through emotions and “urgency.” For entrepreneurs: verifying changes to account numbers and “urgent” payments by phone should be standard procedure, even when the message looks perfect. (Source, Details)



  • Practical consequence: AI scams are more convincing, so even cautious people get “caught” more often by the wrong message.

  • What to watch for: messages with pressure (“now,” “last chance”) and unexpected attachments, especially .zip and “invoices.”

  • What you can do right now: enable MFA, change key passwords and set a rule to verify payments via another channel.


Tomorrow: what could change the situation



  • On 03 January 2026, winter forecasts and warnings may extend flight cancellations and road closures. (Source)

  • In the coming days, new estimates of damage and supply disruptions are expected after attacks on energy infrastructure in Ukraine. (Source)

  • For 04 January 2026, an OPEC+ meeting has been announced, which can shift expectations for fuel and heating prices. (Source)

  • In the coming days, markets will follow political-legal topics in the U.S. that can affect tariffs and import prices. (Source)

  • On Monday, 05 January 2026, a conversation between Erdoğan and Trump about Ukraine and Gaza has been announced. (Source)

  • In the coming days, new information may appear about access to goods and humanitarian aid in Gaza during winter. (Source)

  • In January 2026, a series of economic data will be released; dates may change, so it is worth following the official calendar. (Source)

  • For 27–28 January 2026, the FOMC is scheduled; expectations about rates may shift already after the first January data. (Details)

  • From 25 February 2026, the UK expands the application of the ETA; travelers should check whether they are covered before buying tickets. (Official document)

  • According to official information, ETIAS should start in the last quarter of 2026, with the date announced several months in advance. (Official document)

  • The general application of the EU AI Act is tied to 02 August 2026; during 2026, companies’ preparations intensify. (Official document)

  • In the coming days, more attempts at digital fraud are expected after the holidays; increase caution with payments and deliveries. (Details)


In short



  • If you travel 02–03 January 2026, plan extra time and avoid “tight” transfers.

  • If you drive, check tire pressure and your route; savings and safety are often greater than the difference in fuel price.

  • If you heat with electricity or gas, prepare a small plan for outages and optimize heating with small measures.

  • If you have a variable-rate loan, follow central bank signals, but make decisions through the household budget.

  • If you work online, enable MFA and don’t open links from “urgent” messages; check official sites yourself.

  • If you have elderly family members, a cold wave is a moment for a daily check-in and home-heating safety.

  • If you plan a UK trip, check whether you need an ETA; without authorization you can be refused already at boarding.

  • If the news weighs on you, focus on what you can: documents, travel plan, security settings and reserves.

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